Happy Thursday! Yesterday we went 1-1. Nothing to write home about, but that now puts us 3-6 for the week as I’m looking for green numbers overall. However, that does put us 18-13 since the start of Top Shelf Picks. So overall, we’re doing pretty good. Anyway, today I have TWO free picks for you. If you’re looking to bounce a few things off me, be sure to check out the FREE Discord (https://t.co/q7LY7EUwFQ). And If you’re enjoying these free picks, go ahead and check out our VIP membership, where we have a complete list of Game Lines, PrizePicks, and Underdog action starting at only $4.95 per month. Also, if you’re new to PrizePicks or UnderDog, be sure to pick up our promo so you can get some free money. Please see below for promos.

NOW LET’S GET TO THE PICKS (reading time: 2 minutes)

David Pastrnak o4.5 SOG (-105)

This play has become a staple in my betting card. For as long as Marchand is out, I’ll keep playing Pasta. Pasta has hit this over in 6/7 games – averaging 5.71 SOG per game. He’s also taken 69 total Shot Attempts this season – averaging 9.85 Shot Attempts per game. Tonight he’s facing a Red Wings that allows 34.5 Shots Per Game (5th worst). Overall you can’t look at Pasta’s history against the Red Wings because most of those games are with Marchand, so all we can rely on is recent data, which I’m more than okay with.

Matt Duchene o2.5 SOG (-130)

We couldn’t rely on Pasta’s history against the Red Wings, but there is someone with massive history against their opponent tonight, and that’s Matt Duchene. Duchene faced the Blues four times last season and hit the over in all four games. The man had 18 SOG – averaging 4.5 SOG per game, and also averaged 6.5 Shot Attempts per game. This season he’s hit the over 5/7 games – averaging 3 SOG. However, he’s averaged 3.66 SOG per game over his last three games. The Blues will come in tonight playing their third game in four nights, unlike the Preds, who have been resting since Saturday. We should see a tired Blues team that gives Duchene and the Preds opportunities tonight and, hopefully, their first win at home.

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