Data is king, and here are the best picks from the NFL betting model for Week 9 of the NFL season. Let’s explore. All lines come from Oddsjam, and our specific picks are based off of Fanduel Sportsbook lines.
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Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs (-2) (Vegas Total: 51.0) (Sun, 9:30 AM)
- Model Expected Score: Miami Dolphins 25.0 – Kansas City Chiefs 30.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 1
- Spread Pick: KC -2 | Model Rank: 1
- Moneyline Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons (-4.5) (Vegas Total: 37.5) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Minnesota Vikings 16.5 – Atlanta Falcons 19.0
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 5
- Spread Pick: MIN +4.5 | Model Rank: 5
- Moneyline Pick: Atlanta Falcons
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Arizona Cardinals @ Cleveland Browns (-8) (Vegas Total: 37.5) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Arizona Cardinals 14.0 – Cleveland Browns 23.0
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 9
- Spread Pick: CLE -8 | Model Rank: 11
- Moneyline Pick: Cleveland Browns
Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers (-3) (Vegas Total: 40.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Los Angeles Rams 18.5 – Green Bay Packers 22.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 9
- Spread Pick: GB -3 | Model Rank: 11
- Moneyline Pick: Green Bay Packers
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans (-2.5) (Vegas Total: 40.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16.5 – Houston Texans 21.0
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 2
- Spread Pick: HOU -2.5 | Model Rank: 7
- Moneyline Pick: Houston Texans
Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints (-7.5) (Vegas Total: 41.5) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Chicago Bears 16.5 – New Orleans Saints 26.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 7
- Spread Pick: NO -7.5 | Model Rank: 5
- Moneyline Pick: New Orleans Saints
Washington Commanders @ New England Patriots (-3.5) (Vegas Total: 40.5) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Washington Commanders 20.5 – New England Patriots 22.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 2
- Spread Pick: WAS +3.5 | Model Rank: 7
- Moneyline Pick: New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) (Vegas Total: 43.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Seattle Seahawks 19.0 – Baltimore Ravens 24.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 9
- Spread Pick: SEA +5.5 | Model Rank: 11
- Moneyline Pick: Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) @ Carolina Panthers (Vegas Total: 44.0) (Sun, 4:05 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Indianapolis Colts 23.5 – Carolina Panthers 22.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 5
- Spread Pick: CAR +2.5 | Model Rank: 9
- Moneyline Pick: Indianapolis Colts
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Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3) (Vegas Total: 46.0) (Sun, 4:25 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Dallas Cowboys 21.5 – Philadelphia Eagles 24.5
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 13
- Spread Pick: DAL +3 | Model Rank: 14
- Moneyline Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders (-2) (Vegas Total: 37.5) (Sun, 4:25 PM)
- Model Expected Score: New York Giants 18.5 – Las Vegas Raiders 20.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 7
- Spread Pick: NYG +2 | Model Rank: 9
- Moneyline Pick: Las Vegas Raiders
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Conclusion
Week 9 of the NFL betting model promises a slew of exciting matchups, with teams looking to either maintain their winning momentum or seeking redemption from their previous losses. The detailed insights from Week 8 provide a glimpse into the potential strategies and player performances that might be pivotal in the upcoming games. From high-scoring affairs to defensive battles, fans can anticipate a thrilling week of football ahead. The matchups will not only test the teams’ resilience and adaptability but also provide a platform for standout players to make their mark. As the season progresses, each game becomes increasingly crucial in shaping the path to the playoffs, amplifying the excitement and stakes of every matchup.
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