Data is king, and here are the best picks from the NFL betting model for Week 3 of the NFL season. Let’s explore. All lines come from Oddsjam, and our specific picks are based off of Fanduel Sportsbook lines. You’ll find similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook, so always odds shop online!
Pittsburgh Steelers @ (-2.5) Las Vegas Raiders (Vegas Total: 43.5) (Sun, 8:20 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 21.5 – Las Vegas Raiders 23.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 7
- Spread Pick: PIT +2.5 | Model Rank: 7
- Moneyline Pick: Las Vegas Raiders
The Steelers, in a close game, defeated the Browns 26-22. Their defense, especially T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith, was instrumental in this win. They’ll be looking to bring the same defensive intensity against the Raiders. Las Vegas, having suffered a heavy defeat to the Bills, will be aiming to bounce back.
(-4.5) Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Vegas Total: 45.5) (Mon, 7:15 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Philadelphia Eagles 24.5 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.0
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 7
- Spread Pick: PHI -4.5 | Model Rank: 15
- Moneyline Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles seemed to find their stride against the Vikings, while a 2-0 Bucs, led by Baker Mayfield, approach this matchup. Expect both defenses to perform, ensuring a tough contest, provided Baker remains cautious with the ball.
Los Angeles Rams @ (-2.5) Cincinnati Bengals (Vegas Total: 43.5) (Mon, 8:15 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Los Angeles Rams 21.0 – Cincinnati Bengals 22.5
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 15
- Spread Pick: LAR +2.5 | Model Rank: 7
- Moneyline Pick: Cincinnati Bengals
The Rams suffered a close 30-23 loss to the 49ers. They’ll be looking to bounce back against the Bengals. Cincinnati, having lost to the Ravens, will be aiming to secure a win at home with the hopes of Joe Burrow being able to play. If Burrow is out it might be time to hammer Rams ML.
In conclusion, Week 3 of the NFL season is shaping up to be a thrilling chapter in the unfolding narrative of the league. With teams either looking to maintain their momentum or seeking redemption from previous losses, every matchup holds significant implications. From standout rookies making their mark to seasoned veterans proving their mettle, the gridiron promises intense competition and unforgettable moments. As fans gear up for another week of action-packed football, the ever-evolving dynamics of the NFL remind us of the unpredictability and excitement that keep us coming back for more, week after week.
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