It’s another exciting day in the world of Major League Baseball, and we’ve got the inside scoop on the latest MLB betting trends for September 28, 2023. If you’re looking to make informed wagers, stay tuned as we break down the matchups, Vegas odds and betting trends for every game.
All odds provided by our partner site, Oddsjam!
Let’s dive in!
DET vs. KCR
Pitching Matchup: Cole Ragans (L) vs. Sawyer Gipson-Long (R)
Unfortunately, we don’t have any data available for this matchup just yet. Keep an eye out for updates as game time approaches.
MIN vs. OAK
Pitching Matchup: Luis Medina (R) vs. Sonny Gray (R)
Vegas Odds
- Moneyline: MIN (-295) | OAK (+240)
- Spread: MIN -1.5 (-128) | OAK +1.5 (+106)
- Total: 8.5 — Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)
Betting Trends
The Twins have found success when they’ve been favored this season, winning 59.6% of the time. However, when listed as heavy favorites like today’s -295 odds, they’ve struggled.
Keep an eye on the total too; the Twins have frequently gone over this season, hitting the over in 76 of their 155 games.
On the other side, the Athletics have often been underdogs, winning only 16.7% of their games as moneyline underdogs with odds of +240 or longer. They tend to favor the over, going over the total in 52.2% of their games.
CHW vs. ARI
Pitching Matchup: Bryce Jarvis (R) vs. Touki Toussaint (R)
Vegas Odds
Here’s the lowdown on the Diamondbacks vs. White Sox showdown:
- Moneyline: ARI (-164) | CHW (+138)
- Spread: ARI -1.5 (-110) | CHW +1.5 (-110)
- Total: 9 — Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)
Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks have had a good run when favored this season, winning 59.7% of the time. When listed as significant favorites like today’s -164 odds, they’ve excelled, winning 83.3% of such games.
Keep an eye on the total; the Diamondbacks tend to favor the over, going over the total in 44.6% of their games.
On the flip side, the White Sox have struggled as moneyline underdogs, winning only 31.4% of these games. When listed as moneyline underdogs with odds of +138 or longer, they’ve won just 31.4% of the time.
MIL vs. STL
Pitching Matchup: Dakota Hudson (R) vs. Corbin Burnes (R)
Vegas Odds
- Moneyline: MIL (-205) | STL (+172)
- Spread: MIL -1.5 (+106) | STL +1.5 (-128)
- Total: 8 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Betting Trends
The Brewers have had a solid record when favored, winning 59.1% of the time. However, they’ve struggled in games where oddsmakers heavily favor them (-205 or more on the moneyline), going just 6-6.
The Brewers’ games often go over the total, hitting the over in 69 of their 157 games this season.
As for the Cardinals, they’ve been underdogs quite a bit, winning 43.6% of their games in this role. They’ve favored the over, going over the total in 47.4% of their games.
PHI vs. PIT
Pitching Matchup: Luis Ortiz (R) vs. Zack Wheeler (R)
Vegas Odds
For the Phillies vs. Pirates clash, check out these numbers:
- Moneyline: PHI (-215) | PIT (+180)
- Spread: PHI -1.5 (-105) | PIT +1.5 (-114)
- Total: 8 — Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)
Betting Trends
The Phillies have had a solid record when favored this season, winning 61.5% of the time. When listed as heavy favorites like today’s -215 odds, they’ve performed well, winning 64.7% of such games.
Games involving the Phillies have often gone over the total, hitting the over in 45.9% of their contests.
As for the Pirates, they’ve struggled as moneyline underdogs, winning only 44.3% of these games. When playing as moneyline underdogs with odds of +180 or longer, they’ve won just 35.7% of the time.
BAL vs. BOS
Pitching Matchup: Chris Sale (L) vs. Dean Kremer (R)
Vegas Odds
- Moneyline: BAL (-122) | BOS (+104)
- Spread: BAL -1.5 (+172) | BOS +1.5 (-210)
- Total: 7 — Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)
Betting Trends
The Orioles have been strong favorites this season, winning 67.6% of games where they were listed as favorites. They’ve also performed well as moneyline favorites of at least -122, winning 72.6% of the time.
Games featuring the Orioles tend to go over, hitting the over in 50.7% of their contests.
On the other side, the Red Sox have had their struggles as underdogs, winning just 44.9% of these games. They’ve also had a tough time in games where they’re moneyline underdogs with odds of +104 or longer, winning only 42.2% of the time.
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TOR vs. NYY
Pitching Matchup: Luke Weaver (R) vs. Chris Bassitt (R)
Vegas Odds
- Moneyline: TOR (-184) | NYY (+154)
- Spread: TOR -1.5 (+112) | NYY +1.5 (-134)
- Total: 8.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been favorites in 54% of their games this season, winning 54% of those contests. They’ve performed well as favorites of at least -184 on the moneyline, winning 58.8% of the time.
Keep an eye on the total; the Blue Jays have favored the over, going over the total in 42.7% of their games.
The Yankees have been underdogs in 55.3% of their games this season and have won 46% of these matchups. When listed as moneyline underdogs with odds of +154 or longer, they’ve struggled, losing each game.
NYM vs. MIA
Pitching Matchup: Jesus Luzardo (L) vs. David Peterson (L)
Vegas Odds
- Moneyline: MIA (-136) | NYM (+116)
- Spread: MIA -1.5 (+128) | NYM +1.5 (-154)
- Total: 7.5 — Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Betting Trends
The Marlins have been favorites in 58.3% of their games this season, winning 58.3% of those matchups. They’ve excelled when listed as favorites of at least -136 on the moneyline, winning 68.9% of the time.
Games featuring the Marlins tend to go over the total, hitting the over in 46.8% of their contests.
As for the Mets, they’ve often been underdogs, winning 34.3% of these games. When playing as moneyline underdogs with odds of +116 or longer, they’ve won just 25.7% of the time.
ATL vs. CHC
Pitching Matchup: Marcus Stroman (R) vs. AJ Smith-Shawver (R)
Vegas Odds
Here’s what you need to know about the Braves vs. Cubs matchup:
- Moneyline: ATL (-148) | CHC (+126)
- Spread: ATL -1.5 (+130) | CHC +1.5 (-156)
- Total: 9.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Betting Trends
The Braves have been favorites in 65.1% of their games this year and have won 71.7% of those matchups. When listed as favorites of at least -148 on the moneyline, they’ve excelled, winning 72.1% of such games.
Games involving the Braves tend to go over the total; they’ve hit the over in 56.2% of their contests.
On the other side, the Cubs have had their share of struggles as moneyline underdogs, winning 43.8% of these games. When playing as moneyline underdogs with odds of +126 or longer, they’ve won 51.9% of the time.
COL vs. LAD
Pitching Matchup: Ryan Yarbrough (L) vs. Chris Flexen (R)
Vegas Odds
For the Dodgers vs. Rockies matchup, here are the key figures:
- Moneyline: LAD (-215) | COL (+180)
- Spread: LAD -1.5 (-150) | COL +1.5 (+125)
- Total: 11.5 — Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)
Betting Trends
The Dodgers have been favorites in 63.8% of their games this season and have won 63.8% of those matchups. When listed as heavy favorites like today’s -215 odds, they’ve excelled, winning 73.3% of such games.
Games involving the Dodgers often go over the total; they’ve hit the over in 56% of their contests.
As for the Rockies, they’ve struggled as moneyline underdogs, winning just 36.4% of these games. When playing as moneyline underdogs with odds of +180 or longer, they’ve won only 17.2% of the time.
SEA vs. TEX
Pitching Matchup: Jordan Montgomery (L) vs. Logan Gilbert (R)
Vegas Odds
- Moneyline: SEA (-120) | TEX (+102)
- Spread: SEA +1.5 (-210) | TEX -1.5 (+172)
- Total: 7.5 — Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)
Betting Trends
The Mariners have been favored in 66.5% of their games this season and have won 58.1% of those matchups. They’ve been solid when listed as favorites of at least -120 on the moneyline, winning 61.3% of the time.
Games involving the Mariners have often gone over, hitting the over in 50.6% of their contests.
As for the Rangers, they’ve been underdogs in 54.7% of their games this season and have won 48.9% of these matchups. When playing as moneyline underdogs with odds of +102 or longer, they’ve won 41.2% of the time.
That wraps up our MLB betting trends for September 28, 2023. Remember to check for updates as game time approaches, and make informed wagers using the latest Vegas odds insights. Enjoy the games!
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