It’s game day, folks, and we’ve got some exciting MLB action lined up for you on October 11, 2023. In this edition of MLB Betting Trends, we’ll break down the matchups, analyze the Vegas odds, and give you the lowdown on what to expect.
All odds provided by our partner site, Oddsjam!
Let’s dive right in!
Phillies vs. Braves – 5:07 PM
Probable Starting Pitchers:
- PHI Aaron Nola (R) vs. ATL Bryce Elder (R)
The showdown begins at 5:07 PM as the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Atlanta Braves. Aaron Nola, with a season record of 12-9 and a 4.46 ERA, will be on the mound for the Phillies. On the other side, the Braves are yet to announce their starting pitcher.
Nola has been a solid choice for the Phillies this season, and when he starts, they’ve managed to pull off a 16-7 record as favorites on the moneyline. Speaking of which, the Vegas odds favor the Phillies at -126, with the Braves at +108.
Betting Trends:
- The Phillies have dominated as odds-on favorites this season, winning 61.7% of the time.
- When favored by at least -126 on the moneyline, the Phillies have won 54 out of 83 games.
- The Phillies have gone over the total in 75 out of 165 games this season.
- Regarding the spread, the Phillies are 78-87-0 ATS in their 165 games with a posted line.
As for the Braves, they’ve shown some underdog prowess, winning six out of ten games when facing the odds. Keep an eye on this one, as the Braves have the potential to upset the favorites.
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Twins vs. Astros – 7:07 PM
Probable Starting Pitchers:
- MIN Joe Ryan (R) vs. HOU Jose Urquidy (R)
Moving on to the next matchup at 7:07 PM, the Minnesota Twins clash with the Houston Astros. Joe Ryan, with an 11-10 record and a 4.51 ERA, takes the mound for the Twins, while the Astros send out Jose Urquidy, with a 3-3 record and a 5.29 ERA.
Ryan’s team has a 13-10 record when they are favorites on the moneyline during his starts. On the other hand, the Astros have gone 5-5-0 against the spread when Urquidy starts.
Betting Trends:
- The Twins have a winning record when they’re favored, winning 59.5% of the time.
- Minnesota has secured victory in 56 out of 95 games when favored by -126 or more.
- The Twins and their opponents have gone over the total in 81 out of 164 opportunities this season.
- When it comes to the spread, the Twins are 79-85-0 ATS in their 164 games with a line set by sportsbooks.
The Astros, on the other hand, have shown resilience as underdogs, winning 58.5% of those games. Keep an eye on the over/under in this one, as they’ve gone over the total 86 times out of 164 games this season.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks – 9:07 PM
Probable Starting Pitchers:
- LAD Lance Lynn (R) vs. ARI Brandon Pfaadt (R)
Wrapping up our MLB action for the day, the Los Angeles Dodgers face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:07 PM. Lance Lynn, with a 13-11 record and a 5.73 ERA, will be on the mound for the Dodgers, while Brandon Pfaadt, with a 3-9 record and a 5.72 ERA, takes the mound for the Diamondbacks.
Lynn’s team has a 10-4 record when they are favorites on the moneyline during his starts. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have managed to cover the spread in 11 out of 19 starts with Pfaadt on the mound when there’s a set spread.
Betting Trends:
- The Dodgers have been favorites in 83 out of 133 games this season, winning 62 times.
- When favored by -144 or more on the moneyline, the Dodgers have a winning record of 62 out of 95 games.
- Contests involving the Dodgers have gone over the total in 86 out of 156 chances this season.
- The Dodgers have an ATS record of 84-72-0 in 156 games with a line this season.
Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have shown their underdog potential, winning 51.2% of those games. They’ve also gone over the total in 72 out of 165 games with a set over/under this season.