Dive into our Cincinnati Reds matchup analysis as we explore their potential to overcome the Chicago Cubs with the Reds ML F5 (+105 DraftKings) pick. The Cincinnati Reds may only boast the 13th-best ERA in baseball at 3.50, but they have shown great potential in limiting their opponents to a .203 batting average. After a shaky start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the Reds have gained momentum, and Connor Overton’s performance on the mound looks promising.

Cincinnati Reds’ Resilience:

Although the Reds gave up five runs to the Pirates in their season opener, they quickly bounced back in the second game, allowing only two runs. Connor Overton, who will be taking the mound for the Reds, had a commendable 2.73 ERA last season, albeit in just five games. In two games against Pittsburgh last year, Overton allowed two runs on nine hits over 11 ⅔ innings, contributing to the Reds’ victories in both matches. Meanwhile, the Cubs’ struggles at the plate have them ranked 26th or worse in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and team batting average.

Connor Overton’s Impressive Stats:

Overton is set to make his first start of the season for the Reds. The 29-year-old right-hander last pitched on Friday, September 30, against the Chicago Cubs, where he threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings in relief. During the previous season, Overton and the Reds enjoyed a 3-1 record in the four games he appeared in as moneyline underdogs. Furthermore, he contributed to his team’s victories in three of the four games he pitched last season.

Cincinnati’s Batting Prowess:

Since their opening loss, the Reds’ batting lineup has been heating up. They recorded three home runs in Saturday’s 6-2 win, and center fielder TJ Friedl contributed another home run in Sunday’s 3-1 victory. The Reds are currently averaging two home runs per game, showcasing their powerful offensive capabilities.

Chicago’s Vulnerable Pitching:

The Cubs’ starting pitcher, Drew Smyly, has a known weakness in allowing home runs. In 2021, he ranked 15th in MLB with 27 allowed homers. Although he allowed only 16 home runs last season, Smyly struggled during spring training, posting a 6.06 ERA.


Considering the Cincinnati Reds’ recent performance, Connor Overton’s impressive stats, and the Chicago Cubs’ struggles at the plate, betting on the Reds ML F5 (+105 DraftKings) seems like a promising choice for sports bettors. The Reds’ powerful batting lineup and the Cubs’ vulnerable pitching may well tip the odds in Cincinnati’s favor.

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