Data is king, and here are the best model picks for Week 2 of the NFL season. Let’s explore. All lines come from Oddsjam, and our specific picks are based off of Fanduel Sportsbook lines. You’ll find similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook, so always odds shop online!
Minnesota Vikings @ (-7) Philadelphia Eagles (Vegas Total: 48.5) (Thu, 8:15 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Minnesota Vikings 21.0 – Philadelphia Eagles 29.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 8
- Spread Pick: PHI -7 | Model Rank: 12
- Moneyline Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
The Vikings, after a nail-biting loss to the Buccaneers, will be eager to prove their mettle. Rookie Jordan Addison’s debut was promising, suggesting he could be a valuable asset alongside Justin Jefferson. The Eagles, meanwhile, showcased their defensive prowess against the Patriots. Darius Slay’s interception return was a highlight, and the Eagles will hope to maintain this defensive momentum. Given the Vikings’ offensive potential and the Eagles’ recent defensive showcase, this game could be a strategic battle of offense versus defense.
(-1) Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons (Vegas Total: 41.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Green Bay Packers 24.5 – Atlanta Falcons 23.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 1
- Spread Pick: GB -1 | Model Rank: 12
- Moneyline Pick: Green Bay Packers
Green Bay’s victory over the Bears highlighted their offensive depth, with rookie Jayden Reed making a notable impact. The Falcons, conversely, displayed a rejuvenated defense against the Panthers, with Jessie Bates being a standout performer. The Packers’ offensive versatility will be tested against the Falcons’ revamped defense. This matchup will be a classic test of a high-powered offense against a defense that’s finding its rhythm.
Las Vegas Raiders @ (-8.5) Buffalo Bills (Vegas Total: 47.5) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Las Vegas Raiders 20.0 – Buffalo Bills 29.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 4
- Spread Pick: BUF -8.5 | Model Rank: 10
- Moneyline Pick: Buffalo Bills
The Raiders’ win against the Broncos was a testament to their resilience, especially with Jakobi Meyers’ standout performance before his unfortunate exit. The Bills, however, will be keen to bounce back after their loss to the Jets. Both teams have shown glimpses of brilliance, and this game could hinge on which team can capitalize on the other’s weaknesses. Expect a closely contested battle as both teams vie for early-season supremacy.
Baltimore Ravens @ (-3.5) Cincinnati Bengals (Vegas Total: 46.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Baltimore Ravens 19.0 – Cincinnati Bengals 24.5
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 3
- Spread Pick: CIN -3.5 | Model Rank: 6
- Moneyline Pick: Cincinnati Bengals
The Ravens’ victory over the Texans showcased their depth, especially with rookie Zay Flowers making significant contributions. The Bengals, however, had a day to forget against the Browns, with their passing game particularly struggling. This divisional matchup is always intense, and with the Ravens looking to consolidate their position and the Bengals eager to bounce back, it promises to be a fiery encounter.
Seattle Seahawks @ (-5.5) Detroit Lions (Vegas Total: 49.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Seattle Seahawks 23.5 – Detroit Lions 27.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 4
- Spread Pick: SEA +5.5 | Model Rank: 3
- Moneyline Pick: Detroit Lions
The Seahawks’ offense was stifled by the Rams, a concern they’ll aim to address against the Lions. Detroit’s surprise win over the Chiefs, led by Jared Goff’s fourth-quarter heroics, will give them confidence. Both teams have points to prove, making this a potentially high-stakes game. The Seahawks will be keen to reignite their offense, while the Lions will look to build on their momentum.
(-1.5) Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (Vegas Total: 40.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Indianapolis Colts 20.5 – Houston Texans 21.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 4
- Spread Pick: HOU +1.5 | Model Rank: 3
- Moneyline Pick: Houston Texans
The Colts, despite a valiant effort, were bested by the Jaguars. The Texans, led by rookie Zay Flowers, showed promise but were ultimately outclassed by the Ravens. Both teams are in a phase of rebuilding and will view this game as a chance to make a statement. Expect a game of strategy and determination as both teams seek a crucial win.
(-3) Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Vegas Total: 51.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Kansas City Chiefs 27.0 – Jacksonville Jaguars 24.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 12
- Spread Pick: JAC +3 | Model Rank: 12
- Moneyline Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs, even with Mahomes’ brilliance, were upset by the Lions. The Jaguars, with Calvin Ridley shining, managed to overcome the Colts. This game is set to be an offensive showcase, with both teams boasting a plethora of attacking talent. The Chiefs will be desperate to return to winning ways, while the Jaguars will aim to continue their upward trajectory.
(-3) Los Angeles Chargers @ Tennessee Titans (Vegas Total: 46.0) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Los Angeles Chargers 24.0 – Tennessee Titans 22.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 12
- Spread Pick: TEN +3 | Model Rank: 6
- Moneyline Pick: Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers, despite their offensive firepower, were edged out by the Dolphins in a high-scoring affair. The Titans, on the other hand, suffered a narrow loss to the Saints. Both teams have shown they can score, making this a potential shootout. The key could be which defense steps up to make the crucial stops.
Chicago Bears @ (-3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Vegas Total: 41.5) (Sun, 1:00 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Chicago Bears 20.5 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 8
- Spread Pick: CHI +3 | Model Rank: 6
- Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bears’ offense struggled to find its rhythm against the Packers. The Buccaneers, meanwhile, secured a close win against the Vikings. Both teams have areas to address, and this game could be a turning point in their seasons. The Bears will be keen to kickstart their offense, while the Buccaneers will look to build on their win.
(-4) New York Giants @ Arizona Cardinals (Vegas Total: 40.5) (Sun, 4:05 PM)
- Model Expected Score: New York Giants 25.0 – Arizona Cardinals 18.5
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 2
- Spread Pick: NYG -4 | Model Rank: 2
- Moneyline Pick: New York Giants
The Giants were comprehensively beaten by the Cowboys, but their rookie cornerbacks showed potential. The Cardinals, despite a strong performance from their defensive line, were edged out by the Commanders. Both teams will be eager to get their season back on track, making this a crucial encounter. Expect a game of fine margins, with both teams desperate for a win.
(-8) San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (Vegas Total: 44.5) (Sun, 4:05 PM)
- Model Expected Score: San Francisco 49ers 26.0 – Los Angeles Rams 17.0
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 8
- Spread Pick: SF -8 | Model Rank: 6
- Moneyline Pick: San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers dominated the Steelers, with their defense particularly impressive. The Rams, led by their revamped offense, overcame the Seahawks with ease. This game promises to be a West Coast showdown, with both teams looking to establish early dominance in the division. The 49ers’ defense against the Rams’ offense will be a key battle to watch.
New York Jets @ (-8.5) Dallas Cowboys (Vegas Total: 40.5) (Sun, 4:25 PM)
- Model Expected Score: New York Jets 15.5 – Dallas Cowboys 24.5
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 12
- Spread Pick: DAL -8.5 | Model Rank: 12
- Moneyline Pick: Dallas Cowboys
The Jets, led by Breece Hall, managed to overcome the Bills. The Cowboys, on the other hand, dominated the Giants in all facets. Both teams have shown they can be explosive, setting the stage for an exciting encounter. The Jets will be keen to prove their win wasn’t a fluke, while the Cowboys will aim to continue their dominance.
Washington Commanders @ (-3.5) Denver Broncos (Vegas Total: 39.0) (Sun, 4:25 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Washington Commanders 19.0 – Denver Broncos 19.5
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 12
- Spread Pick: WAS +3.5 | Model Rank: 1
- Moneyline Pick: Denver Broncos
The Commanders, led by their dominant defensive line, edged out the Cardinals. The Broncos, despite a solid start from Russell Wilson, were narrowly beaten by the Raiders. This game will be a battle of wills, with both teams looking to establish themselves as contenders. Expect a gritty encounter, with defense likely to play a key role.
(-2.5) Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (Vegas Total: 47.0) (Sun, 8:20 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Miami Dolphins 23.0 – New England Patriots 22.0
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 4
- Spread Pick: NE +2.5 | Model Rank: 10
- Moneyline Pick: Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins emerged victorious in a high-scoring game against the Chargers. The Patriots, despite a strong defensive showing, were bested by the Eagles. This divisional matchup is always intense, and with both teams looking to make a statement, it promises to be a thrilling encounter.
(-3.5) New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (Vegas Total: 40.0) (Mon, 7:15 PM)
- Model Expected Score: New Orleans Saints 20.5 – Carolina Panthers 19.5
- O/U Pick: Under | Model Rank: 16
- Spread Pick: CAR +3.5 | Model Rank: 3
- Moneyline Pick: New Orleans Saints
The Saints secured a narrow win over the Titans, with rookie Bryan Bresee making an impact. The Panthers, despite a spirited defensive performance, were bested by the Falcons. Both teams will view this game as a chance to build momentum. Expect a closely contested battle, with both teams eager to secure a win.
(-2) Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (Vegas Total: 40.5) (Mon, 8:15 PM)
- Model Expected Score: Cleveland Browns 22.0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0
- O/U Pick: Over | Model Rank: 8
- Spread Pick: CLE -2 | Model Rank: 12
- Moneyline Pick: Cleveland Browns
The Browns, led by their ground game, dominated the Bengals. The Steelers, despite a standout performance from T.J. Watt, were overwhelmed by the 49ers. This historic rivalry promises to deliver, with both teams looking to make an early-season statement. The Browns will aim to continue their ground dominance, while the Steelers will be desperate to bounce back.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, as the NFL season progresses, each week brings its own set of challenges, surprises, and storylines. From rookies making their mark to seasoned veterans showcasing their prowess, the league never ceases to captivate its audience. The matchups in Week 2 are a testament to the league’s competitive nature, with each game holding the potential to shape the trajectory of the teams involved. As fans, analysts, and enthusiasts, we can only anticipate the drama, strategy, and sheer athleticism that these games will unfold. The NFL, with its unpredictable nature and unparalleled excitement, continues to solidify its position as America’s favorite pastime.
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