Red-Hot MLB Prop Picks for 5/05: Pete Alonso and Javier Baez Set the Diamond Ablaze

Pete Alonso (Mets) o0.5 Hits

First up, let’s talk about Pete Alonso, the Mets’ power hitter. With 30 hits in 32 games this season, Alonso has been on fire, hitting the over in 20 of those games – that’s a solid 63% hit rate. Even more impressive, Alonso has hit the over in 5 of his last 7 games, boasting a 71% hit rate.

Alonso’s track record against Antonio Senzatela is equally impressive, with a .444 batting average over nine plate appearances. It’s worth noting that Senzatela will be making his season debut tonight after recovering from an ACL tear last August. During his rehab stint with Triple-A Albuquerque, he allowed seven earned runs and 13 hits across six innings in two starts.

Looking back at Senzatela’s last three games against the Mets between 2019-2021, he posted a 3.94 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP, giving up 17 hits, 7 earned runs, and 3 walks in 16 innings. Alonso’s career batting average against the Rockies is an impressive .344 in 61 plate appearances. More recently, his batting average jumps to .364 in his last eight games against the Rockies, with 33 plate appearances. In those games, Alonso has hit the over 7 out of 8 times, reaching an astounding 88% hit rate.

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Javier Baez (Tigers) o0.5 Hits

Now, let’s shift gears to Javier Baez, the Tigers’ shortstop. Baez has accumulated 24 hits in 28 games this season, hitting the over in 17 of those games, which translates to a 61% hit rate. Recently, he’s been on a tear, hitting the over in 14 of his last 17 games, an incredible 82% hit rate.

Baez’s career batting average against Jordan Montgomery is a strong .375 over eight plate appearances. Montgomery’s career ERA against the Tigers stands at 2.95, giving up 13 hits, 6 earned runs, and 3 walks in 18.1 innings. Baez has a .297 batting average in his last 10 games against the Cardinals, with 37 plate appearances, hitting the over in 8 of those games – an impressive 80% hit rate.

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