Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/8/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Kutter Crawford o4.5 Strikeouts (-136) Fanduel
Starting with Kutter Crawford, who represents the Boston Red Sox, his strikeout percentage for the season is 26%. Facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 22%, Crawford has pitched 82 innings in his 13 games started, accumulating 81 strikeouts. His average strikeouts per start stand at 6.23, with an average of 6.31 innings per start. These statistics translate into a potential of 5.2 strikeouts per game. Crawford’s next game against the Kansas City Royals sees the betting line set at 4.5, with odds at -136.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Logan Gilbert o5.5 Strikeouts (-102) Fanduel
Transitioning to Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners, he exhibits a strikeout percentage of 25%. Against batters with the same average strikeout percentage of 22%, Gilbert has hurled 130.2 innings across 22 games started, amassing 126 strikeouts. He averages 5.73 strikeouts per start and 5.92 innings per start, indicating a potential of 6.2 strikeouts per game. In his upcoming game against the San Diego Padres, the line is positioned at 5.5, with odds at -102.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Crawford and Gilbert bring unique strengths to their respective teams. While Crawford’s consistency in strikeouts and innings per start might be an asset for the Red Sox, Gilbert’s endurance and skill are vital to the Mariners’ success. Whether you’re setting up your fantasy lineup or considering placing a bet, these numbers and insights could help guide your decisions. Analyzing the broader context of the game, including team dynamics, matchups, and recent performances, can further enhance your strategy. Enjoy the action, and good luck!