Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/7/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Seth Lugo o4.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
Starting with Seth Lugo of the Padres, he showcases a strikeout percentage of 26% this season. Against batters with an average strikeout percentage of 22%, Lugo has thrown 89 innings over 16 games started, tallying 88 strikeouts. These stats lead to an average of 5.50 strikeouts per start and 5.56 innings per start, with the potential for 6.3 strikeouts per game. In his forthcoming clash with the Los Angeles Dodgers, the betting line stands at 4.5, with odds set at -158.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Tony Gonsolin o3.5 Strikeouts (-122) Fanduel
Switching our attention to Tony Gonsolin from the Dodgers, his strikeout percentage comes in at 22%. When facing batters with an identical average strikeout percentage of 22%, Gonsolin has pitched 87.2 innings, amassing 71 strikeouts in his 17 games started. This results in an average of 4.18 strikeouts per start and 5.13 innings per start, yielding a potential of 5.3 strikeouts per game. Gonsolin’s next encounter will be against the San Diego Padres, where the line is placed at 3.5 and the odds are at -122.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Medina and Steele bring distinct abilities to their respective teams. Medina’s promising strikeout rate and high innings per start make him a formidable presence, while Steele’s consistent performance provides stability for the Cubs. Whether you’re building a fantasy roster, betting on games, or just following the sport, these statistics and insights can guide your decision-making. Remember to balance these data points with the broader context of the game for the most effective strategy. Happy baseball watching!