Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/5/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Nestor Cortes o3.5 Strikeouts (-108) Fanduel
Starting with Nestor Cortes of the Yankees, his strikeout percentage stands at a solid 26%. Against batters who average a strikeout percentage of 22%, Cortes has pitched 59.1 innings, recording 59 strikeouts in 11 games started. These numbers yield an average of 5.36 strikeouts per start and 5.37 innings per start, leading to a potential 4.9 strikeouts per game. Cortes’ next matchup is against the Houston Astros, where the line is set at 3.5, with odds at -108.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Bryce Elder o3.5 Strikeouts (-164) Fanduel
On the other side, we have Bryce Elder of the Braves, holding a strikeout percentage of 20%. When facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 21%, Elder has thrown 121.2 innings, notching 89 strikeouts over 21 games started. This translates into an average of 4.24 strikeouts per start and 5.77 innings per start, with a potential 5.2 strikeouts per game. Elder’s upcoming clash is against the Chicago Cubs, with a line of 3.5, and the odds placed at -164.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In summary, both Cortes and Elder provide interesting profiles for MLB observers. Cortes’ higher strikeout percentage and ability to match up well against opposing batters may make him an attractive choice, while Elder’s consistent performance and reliability can be a valuable asset for the Braves. Whether you’re a fan, a fantasy baseball manager, or a bettor, considering these insights can help you make informed decisions. As you enjoy the games and make your selections, remember that a blend of data-driven analysis and contextual understanding of the game can lead to success. Happy gaming!