Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/4/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Jordan Lyles o3.5 Strikeouts (-154) Fanduel
Starting with Jordan Lyles, who plays for the Royals, we see a strikeout percentage of 18%. Facing batters with a higher average strikeout percentage of 25%, Lyles has pitched 112.2 innings over 20 games started, resulting in 80 strikeouts. This averages out to 4.00 strikeouts per start and 5.61 innings per start, leading to a potential 5.4 strikeouts per game. Lyles’ upcoming game is against the Philadelphia Phillies, where the betting line is established at 3.5, with odds at -154.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Mike Clevinger o3.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
Transitioning to Mike Clevinger of the White Sox, his strikeout percentage stands at 22%. Against batters with a lower average strikeout percentage of 19%, Clevinger has pitched 67.2 innings, accumulating 56 strikeouts in 13 games started. This translates to an average of 4.31 strikeouts per start and 5.17 innings per start, with a potential of 4.9 strikeouts per game. In his next showdown against the Cleveland Indians, Clevinger’s line is set at 3.5, and the odds are placed at -128.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Lyles and Clevinger provide interesting profiles for those engaged in the world of baseball. Lyles’ unique combination of a lower strikeout percentage but facing higher-strikeout-percentage batters may offer strategic advantages, while Clevinger’s consistency and control can be pivotal for the White Sox. Whether you are looking to build a fantasy lineup or make informed bets, these insights may be helpful. Analyzing the statistics along with understanding the dynamics of each game can lead to success. Enjoy watching, and may your picks be prosperous!