Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/30/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Denyi Reyes o3.5 Strikeouts (-156) Fanduel
The New York Mets’ pitcher, Denyi Reyes, is set to face the Texas Rangers. In his short stint this season, covering only 12 innings over two games, Reyes has caught attention. He has a strikeout percentage of 24%, and with the Rangers’ batters averaging a 23% strikeout rate, fans can expect some exciting moments on the mound. Reyes has managed 12 strikeouts, averaging 6.00 strikeouts in his two starts. Typically, he pitches a full 6.00 innings per game. Given these stats and the batters he will face, projections suggest Reyes might secure around 5.2 strikeouts in the upcoming game. For those looking at betting odds, Reyes has a line of 3.5 at odds of -156.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Zach Eflin o4.5 Strikeouts (-164) Fanduel
Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Rays’ Zach Eflin is gearing up to take on the Miami Marlins. This season, Eflin has delivered with a strikeout percentage of 27%. With the Marlins’ batters striking out 23% of the time, Eflin’s upcoming game should be a treat for fans. Over his 144.1 innings pitched, Eflin has notched 147 strikeouts. He averages 5.88 strikeouts across his 25 starts, generally lasting about 5.76 innings per game. Based on these numbers, Eflin might rack up around 5.7 strikeouts against the Marlins. For those eyeing the odds, Eflin’s line stands at 4.5, with odds at -164.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
To calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. We multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, as Reyes and Eflin step onto the field, baseball fans await a showcase of top-tier pitching. With Reyes aiming to impress against Texas and Eflin looking to dominate Miami, these matchups promise great baseball action. Don’t miss out!