Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/3/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Mitch Keller o5.5 Strikeouts (+106) Fanduel
First, we turn our focus to Mitch Keller of the Pirates. Keller has an impressive strikeout percentage of 28%, and he’s facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 23%. Over 133.2 innings pitched in 22 games started, he’s recorded 145 strikeouts. These stats translate into an average of 6.59 strikeouts per start, and Keller usually lasts 6.05 innings per start. His potential strikeouts per game are 7.4, signaling strong performance on the mound. Keller’s next game is against the Milwaukee Brewers, with a betting line set at 5.5 and odds at 106.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: JP Sears o4.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
Next, we look at JP Sears of the Athletics, who holds a strikeout percentage of 24%. When facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 22%, Sears has pitched 116.2 innings, collecting 106 strikeouts across 21 games started. He averages 5.05 strikeouts per start and 5.53 innings per start, leading to a potential 6.3 strikeouts per game. The Athletics’ next match is against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where the line is set at 4.5 and the odds are -116.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In summary, both Keller and Sears bring significant value to their teams and provide intriguing options for fantasy baseball and betting scenarios. Keller’s strong strikeout numbers and consistent innings pitched make him a standout performer for the Pirates, while Sears’ steady contribution to the Athletics can be a factor in their upcoming game. As you plan your fantasy lineups or consider betting on these matchups, these insights may guide your decisions. Always remember to blend data analysis with a contextual understanding of the sport and teams involved. Enjoy the games, and best of luck with your picks!