Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/20/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Logan Allen o5.5 Strikeouts (+112) Fanduel
Logan Allen is gearing up with the Cleveland Guardians to face off against Detroit. Holding a commendable strikeout percentage of 25%, Allen also has to account for the 24% average strikeout percentage of the batters he’ll be contending against. In his 97.1 innings this season, Allen has confidently struck out 95 batters. Given his 18 starts so far, he has achieved an average of 5.28 strikeouts per game, and he tends to pitch around 5.39 innings each start. If we break down his potential for the upcoming game, we’re looking at an expected 6.6 strikeouts. For those interested in wagering, the betting line for Allen is set at 5.5 with favorable odds at 112. He’s expected to cover about 60% of the pitching during the game, so anticipate Allen putting on a good show.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: JP Sears o5.5 Strikeouts (-112) Fanduel
On the other side, we have JP Sears from the Oakland Athletics, who’s readying himself for a match against Baltimore. With a similar strikeout percentage as Allen, Sears comes in at 25%. The batters he’ll be facing have a slightly lower average strikeout percentage, standing at 23%. Sears’ season boasts 123 strikeouts in 130.2 innings. Over his 24 starts, he averages about 5.13 strikeouts and sticks around for 5.43 innings per start. Projecting forward, we can anticipate Sears achieving around 6.5 strikeouts in his forthcoming game. Betting enthusiasts should note that the line for Sears is 5.5, with odds leaning in at -112. Matching Allen, Sears is also predicted to cover 60% of the game’s pitching duration.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
To calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. We multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In wrapping up, both Allen and Sears bring their A-game with strong performances and similar strikeout averages. As Allen prepares to tackle the batters from Detroit and Sears sets his sights on Baltimore, it’s clear we’re in for a thrilling baseball experience. Don’t miss these games if you’re eager to watch top-tier pitching in action!
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