Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/2/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Grayson Rodriguez o4.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
Starting with Grayson Rodriguez, who represents the Orioles, we see a commendable strikeout percentage of 28%. Against batters holding an average strikeout percentage of 22%, Rodriguez has pitched 62.1 innings over 13 games started, amassing 70 strikeouts. This yields an average of 5.38 strikeouts per start and 4.78 innings per start. With a potential 5.3 strikeouts per game, Rodriguez appears to be a potent force on the mound. In his upcoming battle against the Toronto Blue Jays, the betting line is set at 4.5, with odds standing at -158.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Joe Ryan o5.5 Strikeouts (-142) Fanduel
On the other side, we have Joe Ryan of the Twins, boasting an impressive strikeout percentage of 32%. Facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 20%, Ryan has completed 122 innings, gathering a whopping 148 strikeouts in 21 games started. These numbers translate to an average of 7.05 strikeouts per start and 5.81 innings per start, with a potential 5.8 strikeouts per game. In his next clash against the St. Louis Cardinals, Ryan’s line stands at 5.5, and the odds are placed at -142.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Rodriguez and Ryan offer captivating profiles for those engaged in the world of baseball. Rodriguez’s consistency and strikeout ratio can make a difference for the Orioles, while Ryan’s extraordinary strikeout percentage adds a unique flair to the Twins’ lineup. Whether you are building your fantasy lineup or contemplating betting on these games, these insights could prove to be vital. As always, balancing statistical analysis with a nuanced understanding of the game is key. Enjoy the games!