Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 8/1/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Joshiah Gray o4.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
To start, let’s take a closer look at Josiah Gray’s performance. Gray, a pitcher for the Nationals, has a respectable strikeout percentage of 23%. When facing off against batters with an average strikeout percentage of 23%, he’s managed to pitch 118.1 innings across 21 games started, accruing 102 strikeouts. This averages out to 4.86 strikeouts per start, and he typically pitches 5.62 innings each game. Considering these stats, Gray’s potential strikeouts per game stand at 6.2. His upcoming match is against the Milwaukee Brewers, where the betting line is set at 4.5 with odds at -128.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Zach Eflin o5.5 Strikeouts (+122) Fanduel
Turning our attention to Zach Eflin of the Rays, we find a higher strikeout percentage of 27%. With batters having an average strikeout percentage of 23%, Eflin has managed to pitch 116.1 innings, recording an impressive 116 strikeouts over 20 games started. This equates to an average of 5.80 strikeouts per start and 5.81 innings per start, pointing towards a potential 6.8 strikeouts per game. His forthcoming challenge is a game against the New York Yankees, where the line stands at 5.5, and the odds are marked at 122.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In summary, both Gray and Eflin are strong contributors to their teams’ pitching rotations. Gray offers consistent performance with decent strikeouts, while Eflin’s higher strikeout percentage could make him a formidable player in his upcoming game. As you strategize for your fantasy baseball picks or consider betting options, these insights can be beneficial. Remember, a combination of data analysis and understanding of the game usually leads to the best decisions. Best of luck with your picks!