Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/9/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!

Best MLB Props Pick #1: Steven Matz o3.5 Strikeouts (-112) Fanduel

Steven Matz of the St. Louis Cardinals presents a noteworthy option for your bets. Matz currently holds a 22% pitcher strikeout rate, with his upcoming opponents, the Chicago White Sox, having an average strikeout rate of 23%. In his last 66.1 innings pitched across 10 games, Matz has claimed 60 strikeouts, averaging a solid 6.00 strikeouts per start. For his next game, the potential strikeouts sit at about 5.8. The game line for Matz is set at 3.5 strikeouts, with the odds at -112. Given Matz’s performance and the MLB odds, there’s a 73% chance that he will surpass the game line. Thus, an over bet here can be a part of your best bets today.

Best MLB Props Pick #2: Joe Ryan o5.5 Strikeouts (-110) Fanduel

Switching gears, we have Joe Ryan from the Minnesota Twins. His impressive 29% strikeout rate stands higher than the 23% average of the Baltimore Orioles, his upcoming competition. Ryan has achieved 114 strikeouts in 102.2 innings over 17 games, with an average of 6.71 strikeouts per start. His potential strikeouts for the upcoming game stand at 7.2, with an over/under line of 5.5 and odds at -110. Given the above MLB lines, Ryan has a 67% chance of exceeding the game line, making an over bet on his strikeouts an appealing option for your MLB picks and parlays.

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Calculating Potential Strikeouts

You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.


To summarize, both Steven Matz and Joe Ryan present excellent potential for your MLB expert picks today. Consider placing over bets on their strikeouts as part of your MLB lines and parlays, and you may see an impressive return. Always remember, our expertly analyzed MLB picks are here to enhance your betting strategies. Good luck!

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