Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/8/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Connor Seabold o3.5 Strikeouts (-136) Fanduel
Starting off with Connor Seabold, this Colorado Rockies’ pitcher holds a 19% strikeout rate, compared to the 25% average of the San Francisco Giants, his upcoming opponents. In his 66.2 innings across 11 games, Seabold has achieved 50 strikeouts, averaging about 4.55 strikeouts per start. According to the MLB lines, he is expected to have around 6.4 strikeouts in the impending game. With an over/under line set at 3.5 and odds at -136, it seems likely that Seabold will outperform this total. Therefore, if you’re seeking profitable MLB picks today, an over bet on Seabold’s strikeouts might be a good bet.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Sonny Gray o4.5 Strikeouts (-160) Fanduel
Switching to Sonny Gray of the Minnesota Twins, we see a pitcher with a 27% strikeout rate, slightly over the 23% average of the Baltimore Orioles, his forthcoming opponents. With 96 strikeouts over 93.2 innings in 17 games, Gray averages about 5.65 strikeouts per start. The MLB lines project his potential strikeouts for the next game at about 6.5. The over/under for Gray’s strikeouts is set at 4.5 with odds at -160, suggesting a good probability that Gray will exceed this number. When considering today’s MLB picks and parlays, placing an over bet on Gray’s strikeouts could be a promising move.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
Whether you’re eyeing Connor Seabold or Sonny Gray, both pitchers offer excellent value based on their predicted strikeout totals. The over bets on these totals present promising opportunities as the best MLB picks today. Include these players in your MLB lines and parlays and increase your chances of winning. Remember, our MLB expert picks are always available to enhance your betting strategy. Good luck with your wagers!
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