Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/7/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Luis Medinas o3.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
Luis Medina, an Oakland Athletics’ pitcher, has a 23% strikeout rate, slightly more than the 21% average of the Boston Red Sox, his forthcoming opponents. With 49 strikeouts in his 53.2 innings spread across 8 games, Medina averages 6.13 strikeouts per start. As per the MLB lines, he is predicted to have 8.2 strikeouts in his upcoming game. The betting line for Medina’s strikeout total is set at an over/under of 3.5, with odds of -128. This indicates a strong likelihood that Medina will surpass this total. If you’re looking for promising MLB picks today, an over bet on Medina’s strikeouts could be an exciting choice.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Rich Hill o4.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
On the other side, we have Rich Hill from the Pittsburgh Pirates, whose 24% strikeout rate sits higher than the 19% average of his upcoming opponents, the Arizona Diamondbacks. Hill has managed to secure 88 strikeouts in his 94 innings over 17 games, giving him an average of 5.18 strikeouts per start. According to the MLB lines, his potential strikeouts for the forthcoming game stand at 5.4. The MLB odds set the over/under for Hill’s strikeouts at 4.5, with odds of -116, hinting at a good chance that Hill will outperform this number. Considering the MLB picks and parlays today, an over bet on Hill’s strikeouts looks like a promising proposition.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Whether you’re focusing on Luis Medina or Rich Hill, both pitchers are providing good value based on their expected strikeout totals. The matchup and pitching trends make the over bets on these totals some of the best MLB picks today. These players are a must-consider for your MLB lines and parlays. As always, our MLB expert picks are here to assist your betting strategy. Best of luck with your bets!