Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/6/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Hogan Harris o3.5 Strikeouts (-148) Fanduel
Hogan Harris, who pitches for the Oakland Athletics, has a strikeout rate of 20%, which is slightly less than the 24% average of the Detroit Tigers. However, having made only 3 starts, Harris has shown impressive form with 29 strikeouts in 38.1 innings, averaging a remarkable 9.67 strikeouts per start. According to MLB lines, his expected strikeout total for the forthcoming game is a high 15.6. The MLB odds set his strikeout over/under at 3.5 with odds of -148, suggesting Harris is expected to exceed this total. Our free MLB picks today recommend an over bet on Harris’s strikeouts as one of the best bets today.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Lance Lynn o5.5 Strikeouts (-166) Fanduel
Shifting our focus to Lance Lynn of the Chicago White Sox, his strikeout percentage is an impressive 30%, significantly higher than the 22% average of his opponents, the Toronto Blue Jays. With 116 strikeouts in 96 innings over 17 games, Lynn averages 6.82 strikeouts per start. The MLB lines indicate his expected strikeout total for his next game is 6.3. The MLB odds place his strikeout over/under at 5.5 with odds of -166, hinting at a strong probability that Lynn will exceed this total. Our MLB expert picks suggest an over bet on Lynn’s strikeouts as a compelling choice.
Want More? Daily Picks, Tools, Models, & Discord RIGHT HERE!
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
Our free MLB picks for today, focusing on over bets on strikeout totals, shed light on two exciting pitchers – Harris and Lynn. With their consistent performances and the relatively high strikeout rates of their opponents, they both present a promising chance to surpass the betting lines. These players should be at the top of your list for MLB picks and parlays today. Our MLB expert picks are here to guide your betting decisions. Happy betting!
Use our FREE MLB Picks Parlay Builder 👇
