Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/5/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!

Best MLB Props Pick #1: Eduardo Rodriguez o4.5 Strikeouts (-112) Fanduel

Eduardo Rodriguez, the ace of the Detroit Tigers, has been maintaining a strikeout rate of 27%, which is higher than the 25% average of the Oakland Athletics. With 67 strikeouts in 67.2 innings over 11 games, Rodriguez averages 6.09 strikeouts per start. As per MLB lines, his expected strikeout total for the upcoming game stands at 6.5. The MLB odds place his strikeout over/under at 4.5 with odds of -112, suggesting a 68% probability that Rodriguez will exceed this total. Our free MLB picks recommend that an over bet on Rodriguez’s strikeouts could be one of the best bets today.

Best MLB Props Pick #2: José Berríos o4.5 Strikeouts (-108) Fanduel

José Berríos of the Toronto Blue Jays is another pitcher worth your attention. Berríos boasts a strikeout rate of 25%, outperforming the 23% average of his opponents, the Chicago White Sox. With 95 strikeouts in 101 innings over 17 games, Berríos averages 5.59 strikeouts per start. As per MLB lines, his expected strikeout total for his next game is 5.1. The MLB odds assign his strikeout over/under at 4.5 with odds of -108, indicating a 66% likelihood that Berríos will exceed this total. Our MLB expert picks suggest an over bet on Berríos’ strikeouts as a compelling choice.

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Calculating Potential Strikeouts

You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.

Conclusion

These free MLB picks for today are perfect for those who want to explore over bets on strikeout totals. Rodriguez and Berríos, with their high strikeout percentages and the relatively low average strikeout rates of their opponents, have a solid chance to surpass the betting lines. For today’s games, these pitchers make for excellent considerations in your MLB picks and parlays. Let our MLB expert picks guide your betting decisions. Happy betting!

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