Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/31/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Kyle Gibson o4.5 Strikeouts (-138) Fanduel
Firstly, Kyle Gibson, a seasoned right-hander for the Orioles, has a strikeout percentage of 21% this season. When facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 22%, he’s been able to record 103 strikeouts across 127 innings pitched in 22 games started. On average, he strikes out 4.68 batters per start, with an average of 5.77 innings per start. These numbers indicate a potential 6.7 strikeouts per game. Up next, Gibson is set to pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays, with a line of 4.5 and odds at -138.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Domingo Germán o5.5 Strikeouts (-130) Fanduel
Shifting our focus to Domingo Germán of the Yankees, his strikeout percentage stands at an impressive 29%. With batters having an average strikeout percentage of 23%, Germán has logged 103.2 innings, amassing 110 strikeouts in 19 games started. These statistics translate to an average of 5.79 strikeouts per start and 5.43 innings per start, signaling a potential 6.6 strikeouts per game. Facing the Tampa Bay Rays in the upcoming matchup, the line is set at 5.5, with odds at -130.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In sum, both Medina and Anderson offer valuable insights for MLB enthusiasts and bettors. Medina’s remarkable consistency could be a game-changer for the Athletics, while Anderson’s experience and skill will be instrumental for the Angels. Consider these stats and insights as you make your MLB picks and fantasy lineups, and remember, a successful strategy often combines careful analysis with a dash of intuition. Happy picking!
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