Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/28/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!

Best MLB Props Pick #1: Dane Dunning o3.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel

Leading off, Dane Dunning of the Rangers has a strikeout percentage of 17%, while facing batters with an average strikeout percentage of 21%. Over his 102 innings pitched in 14 starts, Dunning has registered 64 strikeouts, which translates to an average of 4.57 strikeouts per start. He tends to pitch for about 7.29 innings each game, suggesting a potential 6.6 strikeouts per game. As Dunning squares off against the San Diego Padres in the next match, the betting line for him stands at 3.5, with the odds marked at -128. Moreover, he’s projected to handle a whopping 81% of the game’s pitching workload.

Best MLB Props Pick #2: Mitch Keller o5.5 Strikeouts (+104) Fanduel

In contrast, we turn to Mitch Keller from the Pirates. Keller boasts a commendable strikeout percentage of 28%, and he is up against batters with an average strikeout rate of 24%. With 128 innings under his belt, Keller has accumulated a total of 137 strikeouts in 21 games started. He averages an impressive 6.52 strikeouts per start, with a typical innings per start rate of 6.10. This sets the potential strikeouts per game at around 6.2. In his next face-off against the Philadelphia Phillies, the line for Keller is set at 5.5, with odds standing at 104. He’s estimated to shoulder 68% of the pitching duties for the game.

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Calculating Potential Strikeouts

You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.


In conclusion, it’s crucial to note that these MLB picks are compiled from a detailed analysis by our seasoned sports betting team. Their ultimate goal is to assist you in making informed decisions, thus increasing your chances of success in daily fantasy. We encourage you to leverage these free MLB picks as a solid basis for your betting deliberations. Best of luck with your MLB picks today!

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