Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/26/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Yusei Kikuchi o4.5 Strikeouts (-148) Fanduel
Firstly, we have Yusei Kikuchi, the Blue Jays’ left-hander, who has established a commendable strikeout percentage of 27%. The batters Kikuchi typically faces have an average strikeout percentage of 23%. With 103.1 innings under his belt, Kikuchi has accumulated a total of 108 strikeouts over his 20 starts. On average, Kikuchi registers 5.40 strikeouts per start and generally lasts for approximately 5.16 innings. This implies an expectation of 5.0 potential strikeouts per game. In his forthcoming clash against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the betting line for Kikuchi is set at 4.5 with odds at -148. Moreover, he is anticipated to shoulder around 57% of the game’s pitching.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Marcus Stroman o4.5 Strikeouts (-118) Fanduel
Next, we take a look at Marcus Stroman from the Chicago Cubs. Stroman has a strikeout percentage of 23%, mirroring the average strikeout percentage of the batters he goes up against. Over 122.1 innings pitched, Stroman has recorded 105 strikeouts across 21 games started. He averages 5.00 strikeouts per start and is typically on the mound for roughly 5.81 innings per game. This sets the potential strikeouts per game at around 5.1. Looking at his upcoming duel against the Chicago White Sox, Stroman’s line stands at 4.5, and the odds are set at -118. He is projected to contribute 65% of the game’s pitching.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To summarize, our MLB picks are derived from an in-depth analysis carried out by our seasoned sports betting team. Their primary aim is to assist you in making strategic decisions to enhance your prospects of reaping big rewards in daily fantasy. Make sure to use these free MLB picks as a sound starting point for your betting considerations. Good luck with your MLB selections today!