Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/25/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Steven Matz o4.5 Strikeouts (-130) Fanduel
Starting with Steven Matz, the Cardinals’ southpaw has been quite impressive, maintaining a pitcher strikeout percentage of 25%. The batters Matz faces have an average strikeout percentage of 20%. After 81 innings pitched, Matz has secured 79 strikeouts in his 13 starts. On average, Matz has produced 6.08 strikeouts per start, typically pitching for about 6.23 innings. This gives us a potential of 5.1 strikeouts per game. In terms of his upcoming contest against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the line for Matz stands at 4.5 with the odds pegged at -130. Furthermore, Matz is expected to deliver about 69% of the game’s pitching.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Taijuan Walker o4.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
Transitioning to Taijuan Walker from the Philadelphia Phillies, we see a pitcher who has a strikeout percentage of 24%, aligning closely with the 24% average strikeout percentage of the batters he faces. Across 107.1 innings pitched, Walker has compiled 94 strikeouts in 20 games started. On an average basis, Walker yields 4.70 strikeouts per start, and tends to last about 5.36 innings per start. Consequently, we can expect approximately 6.5 strikeouts per game. Looking at his imminent match-up against the Baltimore Orioles, Walker’s line is set at 4.5, with odds at -128. He is projected to contribute around 60% of the game’s pitching.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To conclude, it’s important to remember that our MLB odds are meticulously calculated by our team of expert sports bettors. Their prime goal is to help you make strategic decisions that increase your chances of winning big in daily fantasy. Be sure to utilize these free MLB picks as a solid foundation for your decisions. Good luck with your MLB picks today!