Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/2/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Connor Seabold o3.5 Strikeouts (-138) Fanduel
Connor Seabold has been striking out 25% of batters, above the 24% average of the Detroit Tigers. He’s played 10 games this season, recording 46 strikeouts in 61.2 innings, and averages 4.6 strikeouts per start. As per the MLB lines, his expected strikeout total for his next game is 7.7. The MLB odds place his strikeout over/under at 3.5 with odds of -138, reflecting a 68% likelihood that Seabold will exceed this total. Our free MLB picks suggest that an over bet on Seabold’s strikeouts could be one of the best bets today.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Sonny Gray o4.5 Strikeouts (-122) Fanduel
Our MLB picks and parlays also include Sonny Gray of the Minnesota Twins. Gray’s strikeout rate of 27% surpasses the 23% average of his rivals, the Baltimore Orioles. With 89 strikeouts in 87.2 innings over 16 games, Gray averages 5.56 strikeouts per start. In the context of MLB lines, his expected strikeout total for the upcoming game is 6.5. The MLB odds set his strikeout over/under at 4.5 with odds of -122, indicating a 61% probability that Gray will exceed this total. Based on these statistics, our MLB expert picks suggest an over bet on Gray’s strikeouts as a smart choice.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
These free MLB picks for today are perfect for those eyeing over bets on strikeout totals. Given Seabold and Gray’s high strikeout percentages and the lower average strikeout rates of their opponents, these two pitchers have a strong chance to beat the betting lines. If you’re searching for MLB picks and parlays for today’s games, these pitchers make for excellent considerations. Let our MLB expert picks guide you to make informed betting decisions. Happy betting!