Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/19/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Colin Rea o3.5 Strikeouts (-140) Fanduel
Colin Rea from the Milwaukee Brewers brings a pitcher strikeout rate of 22% to the table, and he’ll be facing the Philadelphia Phillies, who have a relatively high average strikeout rate of 24%. Having pitched 80.1 innings across 15 games, Rea has 67 strikeouts to his name, yielding an average of 4.47 strikeouts per start. Consequently, Rea is projected to reach approximately 5.4 strikeouts in his next start. With a line of 3.5 for his strikeouts and odds of -140, there’s a decent 59% probability that Rea will surpass this line, making an over bet an enticing option in your MLB picks and parlays today.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Dean Kremer o4.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
On the other hand, Dean Kremer of the Baltimore Orioles boasts a pitcher strikeout rate of 24%, and he’ll be up against the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have an average strikeout rate of 23%. Over 104 innings pitched in 19 games, Kremer has accumulated 100 strikeouts, averaging 5.26 strikeouts per start. As a result, Kremer is expected to notch around 5.3 strikeouts in his forthcoming game. With a line set at 4.5 for his strikeouts and odds at -116, we predict a 61% chance of him exceeding this line, suggesting a potential value in an over bet for your MLB expert picks.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In conclusion, both Colin Rea and Dean Kremer present compelling options for your MLB picks due to their notable strikeout rates and appealing odds. An over bet on their strikeouts could be a strategic move in your betting journey. Remember, these free MLB picks aim to guide you towards successful betting. Good luck with your wagers!
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