Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/16/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Kutter Crawford o4.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
Starting with Kutter Crawford of the Boston Red Sox, he’s been demonstrating some promising performances lately. His pitcher strikeout rate stands at a solid 25%, and he’s going against the Chicago Cubs, a team with an average strikeout rate of 22%. Notably, Crawford has pitched 61.1 innings over 9 games and achieved 58 strikeouts, amounting to an impressive average of 6.44 strikeouts per start. In light of these stats, he is projected to score around 6.4 strikeouts in his next game. With a strikeout line of 4.5 and odds at -116, we project a 75% probability of Crawford exceeding this line, making an over bet an enticing option in your MLB picks and parlays.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Brady Singer o3.5 Strikeouts (-166) Fanduel
On the other hand, Brady Singer from the Kansas City Royals has also been showing good form. His personal strikeout rate is 20%, while he faces off against the Tampa Bay Rays, who have an average strikeout rate of 23%. Across his 94.2 innings pitched over 18 games, Singer has earned 77 strikeouts, yielding an average of 4.28 strikeouts per start. Consequently, he’s expected to achieve roughly 5.1 strikeouts in his upcoming game. The line for Singer’s strikeouts in his next game is set at 3.5, with the odds at -166. Based on these numbers, we predict a 58% chance of him beating the line, suggesting that an over bet could be a profitable addition to your MLB picks today.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, including both Kutter Crawford and Brady Singer in your MLB expert picks could prove to be advantageous. Their promising stats, coupled with the MLB lines offered, suggest that placing an over bet on their strikeouts might be a strong strategy. As always, remember that these free MLB picks aim to provide you with a leg up in your betting strategy. Best of luck with your wagers!