Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/14/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Sandy Alcantara o4.5 Strikeouts (-132) Fanduel
Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins has an impressive track record, making him a promising option for your betting strategy. Alcantara’s current pitcher strikeout rate is 22%, which matches up nicely against the Baltimore Orioles’ 23% average strikeout rate. Alcantara has managed to tally 94 strikeouts over 114.1 innings across 18 games, averaging 5.22 strikeouts per start. In his next outing, the potential strikeouts stand at around 6.5. The game line for Alcantara’s strikeouts is set at 4.5, with odds at -132. Given these MLB odds, there’s a 70% chance he will surpass the game line, making an over bet an enticing proposition.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Brayan Bello o4.5 Strikeouts (-136) Fanduel
Moving onto our next focus, Brayan Bello of the Boston Red Sox. Bello’s commendable 23% strikeout rate measures favorably against the Chicago Cubs’ average of 22%. In his 80 innings pitched over 14 games, Bello has claimed 70 strikeouts, averaging 5.00 per start. He’s expected to notch around 6.1 strikeouts in his upcoming match. With a line of 4.5 strikeouts and odds at -136, Bello’s 63% chance of exceeding the game line makes an over bet an interesting option for today’s MLB picks and parlays.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In conclusion, both Sandy Alcantara and Brayan Bello show great potential for today’s MLB expert picks. Consider an over bet on their strikeouts as part of your best bets today, and the odds could be in your favor. Always keep in mind, our expertly analyzed MLB picks aim to maximize your betting strategy. Happy betting!
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