Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 7/1/23. Let’s dive in. All lines are via Oddsjam and specific picks are from Fanduel Sportsbook. Most plays will have similar lines on DraftKings Sportsbook so make sure you odds shop when betting online!
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Bailey Ober o4.5 Strikeouts (-108) Fanduel
Bailey Ober has an impressive strikeout rate of 26%, surpassing the 23% average of the Baltimore Orioles. With 66 strikeouts in 69.2 innings over 12 games, Ober averages 5.5 strikeouts per start. In the realm of MLB lines, his expected strikeout total for the next game is 6.9. The MLB odds set his strikeout over/under at 4.5 with odds of -108, reflecting a 64% probability that Ober will exceed this total. Given these metrics, our free MLB picks suggest an over bet on Ober’s strikeouts can be one of the best bets today.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Marcus Stroman o4.5 Strikeouts (-140) Fanduel
Our MLB picks and parlays include Marcus Stroman of the Chicago Cubs. Stroman’s strikeout rate of 23% overshadows the 20% average of his competitors, the Cleveland Indians. He’s played 17 games this season, accumulating 85 strikeouts in 102 innings, making his average per game 5. His predicted total in the upcoming game is 5.4. The MLB lines have set his strikeout over/under at 3.5 with -140 odds, indicating a 67% chance that Stroman will exceed this total. Based on these statistics, our MLB expert picks suggest an over bet on Stroman’s strikeouts as a compelling choice.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
These free MLB picks for today provide an excellent opportunity for over bets on strikeout totals. Given the higher strikeout rates of both Ober and Stroman and the lower average strikeout rates of their opponents, they are well-positioned to beat the betting lines. If you’re exploring MLB picks and parlays for today’s games, these two pitchers are worth considering. Our MLB expert picks are designed to guide you in making informed decisions. Happy betting!