Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/29/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Patrick Sandoval u5.5 Strikeouts (-156) Fanduel
Firstly, let’s consider Sandoval. With a strikeout rate of 19%, he falls below the 23% average of his forthcoming opponents, the Chicago White Sox. Across the span of 14 games this season, he’s pitched 75.2 innings and has a total of 57 strikeouts to his name. As a result, his average strikeouts per game stand at 4.07. Looking ahead to his next game, the projected strikeout count is around 4.1. Interestingly, the betting lines for his strikeout total are set at 5.5, with odds at -156. Given these odds, there’s an expectation of a 61% likelihood that he’ll exceed this figure. However, based on his current performance, an under bet could indeed be a strategic move.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Max Scherzer u7.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
Secondly, turning our attention to Scherzer, he boasts an impressive 28% strikeout rate. Notably, this figure surpasses the 25% average of the batters he’s due to face in his next game. Scherzer has racked up 70.2 innings across 13 games, acquiring 76 strikeouts and averaging 5.85 per game. For his upcoming match, his estimated strikeout count sits at 5.9. The betting lines are currently placing his strikeout total at 7.5, alongside odds of -128. These odds suggest a 56% probability that he’ll go beyond the projected figure. However, considering his statistics and his opponents’ slightly lower average, an under bet could again be promising.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Sandoval and Scherzer present intriguing options for under strikeout prop bets. Taking into account their individual strikeout percentages and the typical tendencies of their opponents, it’s plausible they might fall short of the betting lines. Therefore, if you’re on the lookout for under bets in today’s MLB games, these two pitchers should definitely be on your radar.