Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/27/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Martín Pérez o3.5 Strikeouts (-164) Fanduel
Martín Pérez, on one hand, has a strikeout rate of 17%, while the average strikeout rate of the batters he’ll be facing is higher at 24%. Pérez has pitched 84.1 innings, managing 56 strikeouts in his 15 games started. This gives him an average of 3.73 strikeouts per start. When the Rangers take on the Detroit Tigers, his potential strikeouts are estimated at around 7.0. The betting line for Pérez is set at 3.5 strikeouts, and with odds of -164, there’s a strong chance he’ll exceed that number.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Joe Ryan o5.5 Strikeouts (-122) Fanduel
On the other hand, Joe Ryan of the Minnesota Twins has an impressive strikeout rate of 29%, compared to the 24% average strikeout rate of the batters he’ll face next. He’s racked up a remarkable 100 strikeouts in 93.2 innings pitched across his 15 starts, averaging 6.67 strikeouts per start. His potential strikeouts in his upcoming game against the Atlanta Braves are approximately 5.6. The betting line is set at 5.5 strikeouts for Ryan, and with odds of -122, it suggests he could exceed this mark.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In conclusion, both Martín Pérez and Joe Ryan have the potential to exceed their respective strikeout prop bet lines. Their individual strikeout rates, coupled with the average strikeout rates of their opponents, offer profitable opportunities for today’s prop bets. If you’re looking for solid prop bet considerations in today’s MLB matchups, Pérez and Ryan should be on your radar.
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