Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/26/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Sonny Gray o4.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
Starting with Sonny Gray of the Minnesota Twins, his strikeout rate is at a high 27%, in comparison to the 24% average strikeout rate of his upcoming opponents. Having pitched 81 innings, Gray boasts 84 strikeouts over 15 games started, thus averaging 5.60 strikeouts per start. When the Twins square off against the Atlanta Braves, he’s projected to hit around 6.7 strikeouts. The betting line for Gray is set at 4.5 strikeouts with odds of -158, suggesting that he has a strong chance of exceeding that number.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Colin Rea o3.5 Strikeouts (-138) Fanduel
Now, let’s discuss Colin Rea of the Milwaukee Brewers. Rea has a commendable strikeout rate of 23%, while the batters he’s due to face have a 21% average strikeout rate. He has pitched 62.2 innings, achieving 54 strikeouts in 12 games started, giving him an average of 4.50 strikeouts per start. In his forthcoming game against the New York Mets, his potential strikeouts stand at about 3.8. With a betting line of 3.5 strikeouts and odds of -138, Rea also presents a good opportunity for today’s strikeout prop bets.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Sonny Gray and Colin Rea demonstrate strong potential for exceeding their respective strikeout prop bet lines. Their impressive individual strikeout rates, in addition to the average strikeout rates of their opposing batters, suggest profitable betting opportunities in today’s games. These are substantial considerations for bettors seeking prop bets in today’s MLB matchups.