Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/23/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Logan Gilbert o4.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
Next on our list is Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners. He boasts a solid 28% strikeout rate, while the batters he’s set to face have an average strikeout rate of 23%. In his career to date, Gilbert has pitched for 79.1 innings and has tallied 84 strikeouts over 14 games started. This translates to an average of 6.00 strikeouts per start. He is estimated to rack up around 5.4 strikeouts in the forthcoming game against the Baltimore Orioles. Gilbert’s betting line is set at 4.5 strikeouts with an odd of -116, showing promise for those considering a strikeout prop bet today.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: James Kaprielian o3.5 Strikeouts (-126) Fanduel
James Kaprielian of the Oakland Athletics is another pitcher to consider. He’s maintained a 22% strikeout rate, and the average strikeout rate of the opposing batters is also 22%. Kaprielian has pitched for 55 innings so far, achieving 49 strikeouts across 10 games started. This results in an average of 4.90 strikeouts per start. His potential strikeouts for the upcoming game against the Toronto Blue Jays are projected to be around 4.0. The betting line is set at 3.5 strikeouts at an odd of -126, making Kaprielian an appealing option for today’s strikeout prop bets.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, both Logan Gilbert and James Kaprielian could present good opportunities for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given their strong strikeout rates and the average strikeout rates of their opposing teams, they both seem likely to surpass their respective betting lines. If you’re looking for potential strikeout bets, keep Gilbert and Kaprielian on your radar.