Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/22/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Bryce Elder o4.5 Strikeouts (-134) Fanduel
Taking a look at Bryce Elder of the Atlanta Braves, he holds a 22% strikeout rate while opposing batters have an average strikeout rate of 25%. Elder, in his career so far, has thrown for 83 innings with 69 strikeouts over 14 games started. That boils down to about 4.93 strikeouts per start. His potential strikeouts are expected to be around 6.1 in the upcoming game against the Philadelphia Phillies. The current betting line for Elder is 4.5 strikeouts at an odd of -134. Given his consistent performance, he is a promising pick for today’s strikeout prop bet.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Braxton Garrett o5.5 Strikeouts (-122) Fanduel
Next up, we have Braxton Garrett from the Miami Marlins who impresses with a 28% strikeout rate. Opposing batters strike out, on average, about 23% of the time. He has managed to pitch for 69.2 innings and strike out 77 batters over the course of 13 games. This implies that Garrett averages around 5.92 strikeouts per start. In his next game against the Pittsburgh Pirates, his potential strikeouts are projected to be around 5.8. The current betting line is 5.5 strikeouts with odds at -122. Given his high strikeout rate, Garrett presents a strong case for a prop bet.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In conclusion, both Bryce Elder and Braxton Garrett could offer value for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given their individual strikeout rates and the strikeout rates of their opposing teams, they both stand a good chance of surpassing their respective betting lines. For those seeking potential strikeout bets, Elder and Garrett should definitely be considered.
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