Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/20/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Kutter Crawford o4.5 Strikeouts (-160) Fanduel
Let’s turn our focus to Kutter Crawford of the Boston Red Sox next. Crawford has exhibited a strong strikeout percentage of 26%, and typically faces batters with a higher 27% average strikeout rate. This results in Crawford boasting an impressive average of 8.20 strikeouts per start. Considering his upcoming game against the Minnesota Twins, Crawford’s potential strikeouts are projected to be around 8.2. The current betting line for Crawford is 4.5, with odds standing at -160, indicating that the value is significant with Crawford potentially exceeding this line, given his high strikeout rate and the Twins’ tendency to strike out.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Seth Lugo o3.5 Strikeouts (-112) Fanduel
Similarly, we have Seth Lugo from the San Diego Padres. Lugo holds a decent strikeout rate of 23% against batters with a similar 25% average strikeout rate. Consequently, Lugo averages 4.75 strikeouts per start. In his next match against the San Francisco Giants, he is projected to get around 4.9 strikeouts. The betting line stands at 3.5, with odds of -112 for Lugo. Given his solid strikeout rate and the Giants’ propensity to strike out, Lugo has a reasonable chance to surpass this line.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In summary, both Kutter Crawford and Seth Lugo could be promising options for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Their personal strikeout rates, in conjunction with their opponents’ average strikeout rates, suggest a high likelihood that both could outperform their respective betting lines. If you’re seeking potential strikeout bets, Crawford and Lugo should be on your radar.
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