Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/2/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Chris Bassitt o4.5 Strikeouts (-118) Fanduel
Starting with Chris Bassitt, he is indeed a vital asset to the Toronto Blue Jays, thanks to his remarkable strikeout rate of 24%. Interestingly, he’s set to compete against batters having an average strikeout rate of 20%. What’s more, Bassitt has demonstrated a consistent performance with an average of 5.18 strikeouts per start. Therefore, as he steps into his next game against the New York Mets, it’s expected that he’ll notch approximately 7.3 strikeouts. Currently, the betting line for Bassitt rests at 4.5, with odds placed at -118. Given his steady form and good strikeout rate, it’s reasonable to believe he could exceed this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Merrill Kelly o5.5 Strikeouts (+108) Fanduel
Transitioning to Merrill Kelly, he stands out as a crucial player for the Arizona Diamondbacks, boasting an impressive strikeout rate of 31%. Additionally, he’s preparing to face batters showcasing a 24% average strikeout rate. So far, Kelly has performed admirably, achieving an average of 6.27 strikeouts per start. Thus, in the upcoming face-off with the Atlanta Braves, he’s projected to secure around 5.8 strikeouts. At present, the betting line for Kelly is set at 5.5, with odds of 108. Given his substantial strikeout rate, there’s a fair chance he could surpass this line.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
To conclude, both Chris Bassitt and Merrill Kelly stand out as excellent choices for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Firstly, Bassitt’s steady 24% strikeout rate and secondly, Kelly’s substantial 31% rate indicate a strong probability of outdoing their respective lines. Hence, if high strikeout counts are your goal, Bassitt and Kelly should undoubtedly be on your radar.
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