Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/17/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Connor Seabold o3.5 Strikeouts (-106) Fanduel
Let’s turn our focus now to Connor Seabold from the Colorado Rockies. Seabold, with a 20% strikeout rate, faces batters who average a hefty 24% strikeout rate. This combination results in Seabold averaging 5.25 strikeouts per start. When faced with the Atlanta Braves next, his potential strikeouts sit at around 6. The betting line for Seabold is 3.5, with odds at -106. Given his strikeout rate and the Braves’ tendency to strike out, there’s a reasonable chance for Seabold to surpass this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Zach Eflinz o4.5 Strikeouts (-144) Fanduel
On the other hand, Zach Eflin of the Tampa Bay Rays boasts a notable 27% strikeout rate while opposing batters possess a 23% average strikeout rate. This creates an average of 6.00 strikeouts per start for Eflin. As he prepares to face the San Diego Padres, he’s projected to achieve approximately 5.7 strikeouts. The betting line sets Eflin’s bar at 4.5, with odds at -144. Considering his striking strikeout rate and the Padres’ vulnerability to strikeouts, Eflin could well exceed this betting line.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To wrap things up, both Connor Seabold and Zach Eflin present intriguing options for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Their individual strikeout percentages combined with their adversaries’ strikeout tendencies suggest a strong possibility for both to exceed their respective betting lines. So, if you’re scouring for a sharp strikeout pick, Seabold and Eflin could be well worth considering.