Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/16/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Dinelson Lamet o4.5 Strikeouts (-102) Fanduel
Let’s now direct our attention to Dinelson Lamet from the Colorado Rockies. Lamet has demonstrated an impressive 28% strikeout rate and faces batters who average a 24% strikeout rate. These metrics culminate in a significant average of 8.67 strikeouts per start for him. With the Atlanta Braves lined up as his next opponents, he is on track to rack up around 7 strikeouts. The betting line has Lamet pegged at 4.5 with odds at -102. Given his formidable form and the Braves’ inclination to strikeout, Lamet seems primed to surpass this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Martín Pérez o3.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
On the other hand, we have Martín Pérez of the Texas Rangers. Pérez’s strikeout rate stands at a modest 18%, while he’s pitted against batters holding an average strikeout rate of 21%. In response to these figures, he’s managing an average of 3.92 strikeouts per start. As he prepares to take on the Toronto Blue Jays, he’s expected to achieve roughly 5.3 strikeouts. The betting line for Pérez is placed at 3.5, with odds at -116. Given his current performance and the Blue Jays’ strikeout rate, Pérez presents a reasonable possibility of outperforming this line.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In conclusion, both Dinelson Lamet and Martín Pérez offer intriguing options for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Based on their individual strikeout rates and their opponents’ tendency towards strikeouts, both pitchers provide a compelling case for exceeding their respective betting lines. Therefore, for those hunting for a shrewd strikeout pick, Lamet and Pérez certainly warrant consideration.
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