Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/15/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Tyler Wells o4.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
Moving on, let’s focus on Tyler Wells from the Baltimore Orioles. Wells has shown a solid strikeout rate of 27% and is up against batters who have an average strikeout rate of 21%. In light of these numbers, he’s clocking in an average of 6.17 strikeouts per start. In his forthcoming match against the Toronto Blue Jays, he is projected to have around 6.8 strikeouts. The betting line for Wells is placed at 4.5, with odds at -128. Given his consistent performance and his opponents’ tendency towards strikeouts, Wells appears to have a significant probability of outperforming this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Logan Allen o4.5 Strikeouts (+106) Fanduel
Next up, we turn our attention to Logan Allen of the Cleveland Guardians. Allen’s strikeout rate stands at 25%, and interestingly, he’s facing batters with an average strikeout rate of 23%. In response to these stats, he’s been delivering an average of 5.67 strikeouts per start. As he steps up to play against the San Diego Padres, he’s estimated to achieve approximately 5.5 strikeouts. The betting line for Allen has been established at 4.5, with odds at 106. With his steady track record and the likelihood of his opponents striking out, Allen has a considerable chance of exceeding this line.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In summary, both Tyler Wells and Logan Allen present as appealing options for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given their noteworthy strikeout rates and their opposition’s susceptibility to strikeouts, they both offer substantial opportunities to go beyond their respective betting lines. Therefore, for those looking for a smart strikeout pick, both Wells and Allen stand out.