Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/13/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Zach Davies o3.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
First, let’s look at Zach Davies from the Arizona Diamondbacks. Davies holds a respectable 23% strikeout rate. In a confrontation with batters who have an average strikeout rate of 24%, Davies has managed to record an average of 4.40 strikeouts in each start. In his next encounter against the Philadelphia Phillies, he is predicted to achieve approximately 6.3 strikeouts. The betting line for Davies is set at 3.5, with odds at -116. Given his performance and the batters’ average, Davies stands a good chance of crossing this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Chris Bassitt o4.5 Strikeouts (-136) Fanduel
Chris Bassitt of the Toronto Blue Jays is next up. He has a strikeout rate of 24%. His opponents, on average, have a strikeout rate of 23%. With an average of 5.38 strikeouts per start, Bassitt is anticipated to secure around 6.8 strikeouts in his next game against the Baltimore Orioles. The betting line for Bassitt stands at 4.5, and the odds are -136. Given Bassitt’s consistent performance, he has a strong chance of surpassing this line.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In summary, Zach Davies and Chris Bassitt are strong candidates for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Considering their steady strikeout rates and their opponents’ strikeout tendencies, both pitchers have great potential to exceed their respective betting lines. For bettors searching for reliable strikeout pitchers, Davies and Bassitt are worthwhile options.
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