Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 6/11/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Louie Varland o4.5 Strikeouts (+126) Fanduel
Starting with Louie Varland from the Minnesota Twins, he possesses an impressive 24% strikeout rate. Against batters with a 21% average strikeout rate, Varland has managed an average of 5.50 strikeouts per start. He is expected to achieve roughly 6.4 strikeouts in his upcoming game against the Toronto Blue Jays. The betting line is set at 4.5, with odds at 126. Given Varland’s strong strikeout performance, he has a good chance of surpassing this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Mitch Keller o5.5 Strikeouts (-106) Fanduel
On the other hand, Mitch Keller of the Pittsburgh Pirates showcases a formidable 31% strikeout rate. He’s up against batters who average a 20% strikeout rate. With an impressive average of 7.23 strikeouts per start, Keller is projected to secure around 5.3 strikeouts in his next matchup against the New York Mets. The betting line for Keller is set at 5.5, with odds at -106. Considering his exceptional strikeout rate, he may well exceed this line.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To sum up, both Louie Varland and Mitch Keller present promising opportunities for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given their consistent strikeout rates and the strikeout tendencies of the batters they will face, they both have a high potential to exceed their respective betting lines. If you’re looking for reliable strikeout pitchers to wager on, Varland and Keller should be on your radar.