Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/9/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Zach Eflin o4.5 Strikeouts (+114) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Zach Eflin from the Tampa Bay Rays. With a 30% strikeout percentage, Eflin will face the Baltimore Orioles, who have a 23% average strikeout rate. He averages 6.20 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 6.0 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at 114 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Michael Lorenzen o3.5 Strikeouts (-154) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Michael Lorenzen from the Detroit Tigers. Boasting a 20% strikeout percentage, Lorenzen will go against the Cleveland Indians, who hold an average strikeout rate of 21%. Given that he averages 4.00 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 4.6 strikeouts, Lorenzen is likely to surpass the over on his 3.5 line at -154 odds.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Zach Eflin and Michael Lorenzen stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Eflin’s 30% strikeout percentage, combined with the Orioles’ 23% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 4.5 line at 114 odds. Similarly, Michael Lorenzen’s strong performance against the Indians lineup, which has a 21% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -154 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.