Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/5/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Jordan Montgomery o5.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Jordan Montgomery from the St. Louis Cardinals. With a 23% strikeout percentage, Montgomery will face the Detroit Tigers, who have a 26% average strikeout rate. He averages 5.33 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 7.8 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 5.5 line at -116 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Clayton Kershaw o5.5 Strikeouts (-138) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Clayton Kershaw from the Los Angeles Dodgers. Boasting a 30% strikeout percentage, Kershaw will go against the San Diego Padres, who hold an average strikeout rate of 23%. Given that he averages 6.83 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 6.2 strikeouts, Kershaw is likely to surpass the over on his 5.5 line at -138 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Jordan Montgomery and Clayton Kershaw stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Montgomery’s 23% strikeout percentage, combined with the Tigers’ 26% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 5.5 line at -116 odds. Similarly, Clayton Kershaw’s strong performance against the Padres lineup, which has a 23% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 5.5 line at -138 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.