Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/4/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Jordan Lyles o3.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Jordan Lyles from the Kansas City Royals. With a 20% strikeout percentage, Lyles will face the Baltimore Orioles, who have a 22% average strikeout rate. He averages 4.50 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 6.1 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -158 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Vince Velasquez o4.5 Strikeouts (-138) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Vince Velasquez from the Pittsburgh Pirates. Boasting a 26% strikeout percentage, Velasquez will go against the Tampa Bay Rays, who hold an average strikeout rate of 23%. Given that he averages 5.33 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 5.1 strikeouts, Velasquez is likely to surpass the over on his 4.5 line at -138 odds.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Jordan Lyles and Vince Velasquez stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Lyles’ 20% strikeout percentage, combined with the Orioles’ 22% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 3.5 line at -158 odds. Similarly, Vince Velasquez’s strong performance against the Rays lineup, which has a 23% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at -138 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.