Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/3/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Louie Varland o4.5 Strikeouts (-106) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Louie Varland from the Minnesota Twins. With a 33% strikeout percentage, Varland will face the Chicago White Sox, who have a 23% average strikeout rate. He averages 8.00 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 5.9 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at -106 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Eric Lauer o3.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Eric Lauer from the Milwaukee Brewers. Boasting a 23% strikeout percentage, Lauer will go against the Colorado Rockies, who hold an average strikeout rate of 26%. Given that he averages 4.60 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 5.6 strikeouts, Lauer is likely to surpass the over on his 3.5 line at -158 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Louie Varland and Eric Lauer stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Varland’s 33% strikeout percentage, combined with the White Sox’s 23% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 4.5 line at -106 odds. Similarly, Eric Lauer’s strong performance against the Rockies lineup, which has a 26% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -158 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.