Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/28/23. Let’s dive in.

Best MLB Props Pick #1: Merrill Kelly o4.5 Strikeouts (-110) Fanduel

Merrill Kelly has been performing admirably with a solid 29% strikeout rate. Furthermore, he’s been facing batters with an average strikeout rate of 21%. He’s been consistently producing results, averaging 5.90 strikeouts per start. He’s projected to rack up about 4.9 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Boston Red Sox. With a betting line set at 4.5 and odds of -110, there’s a strong chance that Kelly’s performance will surpass the line.

Best MLB Props Pick #2: Bailey Ober o4.5 Strikeouts (-152) Fanduel

Switching gears to Bailey Ober, we find a pitcher maintaining a strikeout rate of 24%. He’s set to face opponents who average a strikeout rate of 22%. Ober has shown consistent performance, averaging 5.00 strikeouts per start. The upcoming game against the Toronto Blue Jays suggests that he might secure around 6.4 strikeouts. His betting line is currently at 4.5 with odds of -152. Considering his steady performance and strikeout rate, Ober stands a good chance to outperform this line.

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Calculating Potential Strikeouts

You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.


To sum up, both Merrill Kelly and Bailey Ober are noteworthy picks for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given Kelly’s steady 29% strikeout rate and Ober’s solid 24% rate, both are expected to surpass their respective lines. If you’re looking for pitchers likely to deliver high strikeout counts, keep an eye on Kelly and Ober.

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