Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/26/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: George Kirby o5.5 Strikeouts (-116) Fanduel
George Kirby is first up on our radar. With a 21% strikeout rate, Kirby faces batters who average a strikeout rate of 22%. His reliable performance has earned him an average of 5.22 strikeouts per start. As he squares off against the Pittsburgh Pirates, predictions peg him for about 7.0 strikeouts. With a betting line set at 5.5 and odds of -116, Kirby’s strong track record suggests he’s likely to outperform this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Jesús Luzardo o5.5 Strikeouts (-154) Fanduel
On the other hand, Jesús Luzardo of the Marlins demonstrates a striking 29% strikeout rate. He’s up against batters who average a 23% strikeout rate. Luzardo’s consistency has been commendable, with an average of 6.30 strikeouts per start. In the upcoming faceoff against the Los Angeles Angels, projections suggest he will achieve around 5.7 strikeouts. The betting line for Luzardo is set at 5.5 with odds of -154, and given his consistently high strikeout rate, he stands a good chance of exceeding this line.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In sum, George Kirby and Jesús Luzardo emerge as prime picks for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given Kirby’s steady 21% strikeout rate and Luzardo’s impressive 29% rate, both pitchers are predicted to exceed their respective lines. If high strikeout counts are what you’re after, Kirby and Luzardo should definitely make your list today.