Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/21/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: George Kirby o4.5 Strikeouts (-128) Fanduel
First up, George Kirby. He’s been a reliable player for the Mariners this season with a 21% strikeout rate. He’s competed against opponents who strike out 24% of the time on average. Kirby consistently delivers, achieving an average of 5.13 strikeouts per start. We project he’ll score around 6.5 strikeouts in his upcoming battle against the Atlanta Braves. The betting line sets Kirby’s strikeouts at 4.5, with odds of -128. Given his steady game, it’s likely Kirby will exceed this number.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Kevin Gausman o6.5 Strikeouts (-136) Fanduel
Next, we have Kevin Gausman. As a member of the Blue Jays, Gausman commands a remarkable 36% strikeout rate. He’s faced teams who, on average, have a 23% strikeout rate. Gausman shines on the mound, racking up an average of 8.56 strikeouts each start. We anticipate he’ll pull off about 7.0 strikeouts in his next game against the Baltimore Orioles. The odds set Gausman’s line at 6.5, with a -136 bet. Considering his exceptional performance, it’s probable Gausman will outdo this line.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To wrap it all up, George Kirby and Kevin Gausman make for enticing choices for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. With Kirby’s solid 21% strikeout rate and Gausman’s staggering 36% rate, both stand a strong chance of outperforming their respective lines. If you’re looking to bet on high strikeout counts, both Kirby and Gausman should be on your radar.